10xSharp

Lyon vs Nice — Ligue 1 26/27

SUN, OCT 18Parc Olympique Lyonnais
2 – 1Half-time 2 – 1Full time
Lyon: P. Sulc
32'
Lyon: T. Tessmann
36'
18'
Nice: E. Wahi

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Ligue 1 page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Ligue 1 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Lyon sit 4th with 11 points while Nice are 9th with 8, a gap of 3 points after 6 matches. Lyon's home record is 2 wins and 1 draw with a +6 goal difference, while Nice's away record is 0 wins and 2 losses with a -4 goal difference, so the venue split strongly favours the hosts.

Lyon
Last 6 · all comps
Nice
Last 6 · all comps
OL50%Win Rate33%NIC
OL17%Loss Rate33%NIC

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

3
NIC wins
2
draws
5
OL wins

Lyon have won 5 of the 10 meetings, Nice 3, with 2 draws, and at this ground Lyon have won 4 of the 5 meetings with 1 draw and no defeats. The most recent meeting was a 2-0 Lyon win in February 2026, and the average total goals across all meetings is 2.8.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Lyon's home attack is far more dangerous than Nice's away attack, with 2.7 goals per home match across 3 home matches against 0.0 for Nice across 2 away matches. Lyon's 2.7 is well above the league's 1.67 home-side average, while Nice's 0.0 is far below the 1.24 away-side average, giving Lyon a large attacking edge.

All venues
Home/AwayOL home · NIC away

Goals Scored · Season

OL1.80.8NIC
OL2.70.0NIC

Failed to Score · Season

OL17%50%NIC
OL0%100%NIC

Attacking Share · Season

OL73%42%NIC
OL80%0%NIC

Goals Scored · Last 5

OL2.01.0NIC
OL2.40.0NIC

Failed to Score · Last 5

OL20%40%NIC
OL0%100%NIC

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Lyon are most dangerous late, scoring 36% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Nice's peak is earlier at 40% in the 31-45 minute window. Nice are also most vulnerable late, conceding 29% of their goals in 76-90 against 20% of their goals scored in that window, so the closing stages could be decisive.

LyonNice
9%
18%
9%
18%
9%
36%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
20%
40%
0%
20%
20%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
OL33%1st Half Lead %17%NIC
OL33%2nd Half Lead %17%NIC

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

OL ■NIC ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Lyon's matches are the more back-loaded, with 67% of their matches producing over 1.5 second-half goals against 33% for Nice, and Lyon's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 67% of cases against 33% away. Lyon's venue swing is stark: 67% of their home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, against 33% of their away matches, while Nice's away matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 50% of cases.

OL83%Over 0.583%NIC
OL83%Over 1.567%NIC
OL50%Over 2.550%NIC
OL33%Over 3.50%NIC
OL0%Over 4.50%NIC
OL0%Over 5.50%NIC
2.50Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.00

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Lyon have conceded a total of only 4 goals, which is the least in the Ligue 1 this season.

  2. Nice seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1.

  3. In the last 6 matches of the Ligue 1, Lyon scored 11 goals (average 1.8) while Nice scored 5 (average 0.8).

  4. In the last 5 matches of the Ligue 1, Lyon conceded on average 0.8 goals per match while Nice conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.

  5. Lyon shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches of the Ligue 1.

  6. In their last 3 Ligue 1 matches, Lyon have been awarded an average of 3.3 corners per match, while Nice have averaged 4.3 corners.

  7. In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Lyon have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Nice have averaged 0.6 cards.

  8. In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Lyon have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Nice have averaged 1.6 cards.

  9. Chances are good to see a goal from Lyon within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the Ligue 1 this season.

About The Match

Lyon arrive as the market's clear favourite and the sharper side on both recent and season-long evidence, but Nice's away record is so thin and so poor that the real question is whether they can score at all. Lyon have won 4 of the 5 meetings at this ground and are unbeaten in 3 at home, while Nice have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 away matches and are winless in 5 on the road. The market prices Lyon at 57% to win and 61% to score first, with the total goals line at 2.75 leaning over. The key uncertainty is whether Nice's away scoring drought is a small-sample artefact or a genuine structural weakness, because their 0.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches is the single most extreme figure in this fixture.