10xSharp

Nottingham vs Arsenal — Premier League 26/27

SUN, OCT 18City Ground
0 – 1Half-time 0 – 0Full time
80'
Arsenal: N. Madueke

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:56 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Premier League page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Arsenal sit 2nd with 15 points, a full 10 points clear of Nottingham in 15th on 5. The home side's record at this ground is poor, 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3 home matches, while Arsenal have taken 2 wins and 1 loss from their 3 away matches.

Nottingham
Last 6 · all comps
Arsenal
Last 6 · all comps
NFO17%Win Rate83%ARS
NFO50%Loss Rate17%ARS

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

6
ARS wins
2
draws
2
NFO wins

Arsenal have dominated this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings to Nottingham's 2, with 2 draws. At this ground the record is more balanced, 2 Nottingham wins, 2 draws and 1 Arsenal win in the 5 meetings here.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Arsenal hold a large attacking edge, scoring 1.0 goals per away match across 3 away matches while Nottingham have scored 0 goals in their 3 home matches. Both sides sit below the league average for their venue, Arsenal marginally and Nottingham by a large margin.

All venues
Home/AwayNFO home · ARS away

Goals Scored · Season

NFO0.81.7ARS
NFO0.01.0ARS

Failed to Score · Season

NFO50%17%ARS
NFO100%33%ARS

Attacking Share · Season

NFO38%67%ARS
NFO0%50%ARS

Goals Scored · Last 5

NFO1.02.2ARS
NFO0.41.6ARS

Failed to Score · Last 5

NFO40%20%ARS
NFO80%20%ARS

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Arsenal are most dangerous just after half-time, scoring 40% of their goals in the 46-60 window, while Nottingham's scoring is spread evenly across five different 15-minute bands. Nottingham are most vulnerable in the same 46-60 window, conceding 38% of their goals there against 20% scored.

NottinghamArsenal
20%
20%
0%
20%
20%
20%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
10%
20%
0%
40%
20%
10%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
NFO17%1st Half Lead %17%ARS
NFO17%2nd Half Lead %83%ARS

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

NFO ■ARS ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Across the whole season, Arsenal's matches have been the higher-scoring, with 66.67% of their matches going over 2.5 goals compared to 50% for Nottingham. At this venue the picture flips: 0% of Nottingham's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, while 33% of Arsenal's away matches have.

NFO83%Over 0.5100%ARS
NFO50%Over 1.583%ARS
NFO50%Over 2.567%ARS
NFO33%Over 3.50%ARS
NFO0%Over 4.50%ARS
NFO0%Over 5.50%ARS
2.17Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.50

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Arsenal have conceded a total of only 5 goals, which is the least in the Premier League this season.

  2. In their last 5 Premier League matches, Nottingham have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Arsenal have averaged 0.2 cards.

  3. Nottingham have been struggling lately. They lost 2 of their last 3 matches of the Premier League.

  4. In the last 6 matches of the Premier League, Nottingham conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Arsenal conceded on average 0.8 goals per match.

  5. In their last 3 Premier League matches, Nottingham have been awarded an average of 5 corners per match, while Arsenal have averaged 3.3 corners.

  6. In the last 6 matches of the Premier League, Nottingham scored 5 goals (average 0.8) while Arsenal scored 10 (average 1.6).

  7. In their last 5 Premier League matches, Nottingham have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Arsenal have averaged 1.4 cards.

  8. The chances of seeing a goal from Nottingham in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.3 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.

About The Match

Arsenal arrive as the clear market favourite and the stronger side on almost every measure, but the most telling number is the gap in attacking output: Nottingham have scored 0 goals in 3 home matches while Arsenal have netted 3 in 3 away matches. Nottingham's home form is a real concern, winless in 4 at this ground, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 away matches. The key uncertainty is whether Nottingham's solid home defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per home match, can frustrate an Arsenal side that has scored 70% of its goals after half-time.