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Newcastle vs Hull — Premier League 26/27

SAT, SEP 19St. James Park
2 – 1Half-time 2 – 0Full time
Newcastle: J. Willock
3'
Newcastle: L. Hall
7'
67'
Hull: M. Cho

Newcastle: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Hull: 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Premier League page.

Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Hull's unbeaten start puts them 4th with 8 points, while Newcastle sit 12th with 5, but the home/away split flatters neither side: Newcastle are winless at home with 2 draws from 2, and Hull have taken 4 points from their 2 away games. The gap is real but built on a tiny four-match sample, so it is a hint rather than a settled order.

Newcastle
Last 6 · all comps
Hull
Last 6 · all comps
NEW25%Win Rate50%HUL
NEW25%Loss Rate0%HUL

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

3
HUL wins
4
draws
3
NEW wins

History between these two is balanced and low-scoring, with Newcastle winning 3 and Hull 2 of the last 10 meetings, and 5 draws. The most recent meeting was a 2-0 Newcastle win, but it came outside this competition, so the pattern is one of tight, evenly matched contests rather than a clear edge for either side.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Attack

Newcastle's home attack is the more productive of the two, averaging 2.0 goals per home match against Hull's 1.5 away, but Hull's overall scoring rate of 1.2 per match is dragged down by a slow start and their away figure is more respectable. The gap is real but modest, and Hull's ability to score first in half their games gives them a route into the match.

All venues
Home/AwayNEW home · HUL away

Goals Scored · Season

NEW1.81.2HUL
NEW2.01.5HUL

Failed to Score · Season

NEW0%25%HUL
NEW0%0%HUL

Attacking Share · Season

NEW47%71%HUL
NEW50%60%HUL

Goals Scored · Last 5

NEW1.80.8HUL
NEW1.80.8HUL

Failed to Score · Last 5

NEW0%40%HUL
NEW0%40%HUL

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Newcastle are most dangerous late, with 29% of their goals coming in the final 15 minutes and the same share in the 61-75 band, while Hull score 40% of their goals in the 31-45 window and another 40% in the 16-30 band. The visitors are fast starters and Newcastle are second-half scorers, so the game could open up after the break if Hull's early pressure does not produce a lead.

NewcastleHull
14%
0%
14%
14%
29%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
40%
40%
0%
0%
20%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
NEW25%1st Half Lead %50%HUL
NEW75%2nd Half Lead %25%HUL

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

NEW ■HUL ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Newcastle's home matches have been the highest-scoring environment in this fixture, with 100% of their games at St James' Park going over 2.5 goals, while Hull's away matches are far tighter at 50% over 2.5. Newcastle have scored in every league match this season, but they have also conceded in every home game, so the over leans on their defensive frailty as much as their attacking output.

NEW100%Over 0.575%HUL
NEW100%Over 1.550%HUL
NEW75%Over 2.525%HUL
NEW75%Over 3.525%HUL
NEW25%Over 4.50%HUL
NEW0%Over 5.50%HUL
3.75Combined Goals / G · FT · Season1.75

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Hull blocks 89% of all shots on target which is highest in Premier League this season.

  2. In their last 5 matches, Newcastle have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Hull have averaged 3 cards.

  3. In the last 4 matches of the Premier League, Newcastle conceded on average 2 goals per match while Hull conceded on average 0.5 goals per match.

  4. In their last 3 Premier League matches, Newcastle have been awarded an average of 5.3 corners per match, while Hull have averaged 3 corners.

  5. Draw seems to be a common result for Hull lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Premier League matches.

  6. Chances are good to see a goal from Hull within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the Premier League this season.

  7. In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Newcastle scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Hull scored 3 (average 1).

  8. Newcastle scored at least one goal per match in the Premier League this season.

  9. In their last 5 matches, Newcastle have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Hull have averaged 0.6 cards.

About The Match

Newcastle's home matches have been the league's most reliable source of goals, with every game at St James' Park this season going over 2.5, while Hull arrive as the division's stingiest defence, conceding just 0.5 goals per match across their four league games. The market prices Newcastle as clear favourites at 60% to win, but Hull's unbeaten start and 75% clean-sheet rate make this a far tighter contest than the table gap suggests. The key uncertainty is whether Hull's compact, low-possession approach can suppress a Newcastle attack that has scored in every league match but also conceded in every home game.