Newcastle vs Aston Villa — Premier League 26/27
Newcastle: 6 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSAston Villa: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:55 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Premier League page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Newcastle sit 11th with 8 points, five places and three points above Aston Villa in 16th with 5 points. At home Newcastle have 1 win and 2 draws from 3 matches with a +1 goal difference, while Villa away have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3 with a -3 goal difference, so the venue split favours Newcastle but only marginally.
Newcastle
Aston VillaScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Newcastle's home attack is clearly the stronger of the two, scoring 2.0 goals per home match across 3 home matches against Aston Villa's 1.0 away across 3 away matches. Newcastle's figure is marginally better than the league's home-side average of 1.62, while Villa's is marginally worse than the away-side average of 1.33, so the edge is real but not overwhelming.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Both defences are below their league baselines, but Newcastle's home defence is the clearer concern, conceding 1.7 goals per home match across 3 home matches against Aston Villa's 2.0 away across 3 away matches. Newcastle's rate is clearly worse than the league's home-side average of 1.33, while Villa's is marginally worse than the away-side average of 1.62, leaving the defensive edge level between the two sides.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Newcastle are equally dangerous in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute windows, scoring 30% of their goals in each, while Aston Villa share their peak between 61-75 and 76-90 with 33% in each. Villa are also most vulnerable late, conceding 36% of their goals in 76-90 against 33% scored in that window, so the final quarter is where both sides are most active.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Newcastle's matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 83% of their matches this season going over 2.5 goals against Aston Villa's 67%. Newcastle's home matches are even more extreme, with 100% going over 2.5 goals compared to 67% of their away matches, while Villa's away matches sit at 67% over 2.5, so the home side's venue split is the standout goal-line fact.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Newcastle have conceded a total of 13 goals, which is the most in the Premier League this season.
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Newcastle conceded on average 3 goals per match while Aston Villa conceded on average 2 goals per match.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Newcastle have been awarded an average of 5.2 corners per match, while Aston Villa have averaged 3 corners.
Newcastle have been struggling lately. They lost 2 of their last 3 matches of the Premier League.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Newcastle have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Aston Villa have averaged 0.4 cards.
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Newcastle scored 4 goals (average 1.3) while Aston Villa scored 6 (average 2).
The chances of seeing a goal from Aston Villa in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.3 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Newcastle have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Aston Villa have averaged 1.8 cards.
Newcastle scored at least one goal per match in the Premier League this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Newcastle within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the Premier League this season.
Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Newcastle sit 11th with 8 points, five places and three points above Aston Villa in 16th with 5 points. At home Newcastle have 1 win and 2 draws from 3 matches with a +1 goal difference, while Villa away have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3 with a -3 goal difference, so the venue split favours Newcastle but only marginally.
NewcastleAston VillaHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Newcastle have won 5 of the last 10 meetings to Aston Villa's 3, with 2 draws, and the most recent meeting in February 2026 went Newcastle's way 3-1 at Villa Park. At this ground, Newcastle have won 3 of 5 meetings with 1 draw and 1 Villa win, scoring 15 goals to Villa's 6, so the home side has a clear historical edge here.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Newcastle's home attack is clearly the stronger of the two, scoring 2.0 goals per home match across 3 home matches against Aston Villa's 1.0 away across 3 away matches. Newcastle's figure is marginally better than the league's home-side average of 1.62, while Villa's is marginally worse than the away-side average of 1.33, so the edge is real but not overwhelming.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Both defences are below their league baselines, but Newcastle's home defence is the clearer concern, conceding 1.7 goals per home match across 3 home matches against Aston Villa's 2.0 away across 3 away matches. Newcastle's rate is clearly worse than the league's home-side average of 1.33, while Villa's is marginally worse than the away-side average of 1.62, leaving the defensive edge level between the two sides.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Newcastle are equally dangerous in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute windows, scoring 30% of their goals in each, while Aston Villa share their peak between 61-75 and 76-90 with 33% in each. Villa are also most vulnerable late, conceding 36% of their goals in 76-90 against 33% scored in that window, so the final quarter is where both sides are most active.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Newcastle's matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 83% of their matches this season going over 2.5 goals against Aston Villa's 67%. Newcastle's home matches are even more extreme, with 100% going over 2.5 goals compared to 67% of their away matches, while Villa's away matches sit at 67% over 2.5, so the home side's venue split is the standout goal-line fact.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Newcastle have conceded a total of 13 goals, which is the most in the Premier League this season.
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Newcastle conceded on average 3 goals per match while Aston Villa conceded on average 2 goals per match.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Newcastle have been awarded an average of 5.2 corners per match, while Aston Villa have averaged 3 corners.
Newcastle have been struggling lately. They lost 2 of their last 3 matches of the Premier League.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Newcastle have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Aston Villa have averaged 0.4 cards.
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Newcastle scored 4 goals (average 1.3) while Aston Villa scored 6 (average 2).
The chances of seeing a goal from Aston Villa in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.3 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Newcastle have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Aston Villa have averaged 1.8 cards.
Newcastle scored at least one goal per match in the Premier League this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Newcastle within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the Premier League this season.
About The Match
Newcastle's home form gives them the edge, but Aston Villa's recent away run is the strongest form line in this fixture. Newcastle have taken 8 points from their last six league matches while Aston Villa have 5, yet Villa are unbeaten in their last five away matches and have scored 12 goals across those six away games. The key uncertainty is whether Villa's away scoring can overcome a Newcastle defence that has conceded 1.7 goals per home match across 3 home matches, a rate that is clearly worse than the league's home-side average.