10xSharp

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham — Premier League 26/27

SUN, OCT 11Selhurst Park
3 – 1Half-time 2 – 1Full time
Crystal Palace: D. Kamada
41'
Crystal Palace: J. Lerma
45+4'
Crystal Palace: Y. Pino
59'
3'
Nottingham: D. Ndoye

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:36 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Premier League page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Nottingham sit two places above Crystal Palace with 5 points to 4, but the venue splits tell a sharper story. Crystal Palace have lost both home matches with a -4 goal difference, while Nottingham are unbeaten away with a win and a draw and a +1 goal difference.

Crystal Palace
Last 6 · all comps
Nottingham
Last 6 · all comps
CRY20%Win Rate20%NFO
CRY60%Loss Rate40%NFO

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

3
NFO wins
7
draws
0
CRY wins

Nottingham have dominated this fixture, winning 3 of the 10 meetings with 7 draws and Crystal Palace yet to win. The most recent meeting ended 1-1 in February 2026, and the average of 1.7 goals per meeting points to a low-scoring pattern.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Nottingham hold a large attacking edge, scoring 2.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches against Crystal Palace's 1.5 at home across 2 home matches. Nottingham's away rate is well above the league's away-side average of 1.3, while Crystal Palace's home rate is level with the league's home-side average of 1.57.

All venues
Home/AwayCRY home · NFO away

Goals Scored · Season

CRY1.20.8NFO
CRY1.52.0NFO

Failed to Score · Season

CRY40%60%NFO
CRY0%0%NFO

Attacking Share · Season

CRY35%44%NFO
CRY30%57%NFO

Goals Scored · Last 5

CRY1.80.8NFO
CRY2.01.0NFO

Failed to Score · Last 5

CRY40%60%NFO
CRY20%40%NFO

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Crystal Palace are most dangerous just after half-time, scoring 33% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Nottingham are equally vulnerable in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute windows, conceding 40% of their goals in each. Nottingham's scoring distribution is spread across the second half, with no single peak band.

Crystal PalaceNottingham
17%
0%
17%
33%
17%
17%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
25%
0%
25%
25%
25%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
CRY0%1st Half Lead %20%NFO
CRY40%2nd Half Lead %20%NFO

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

CRY ■NFO ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Crystal Palace's matches have been far more open, with 60% of their matches going over 2.5 goals to Nottingham's 40%. At this venue, both teams have seen 100% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and Crystal Palace's home matches average 5.0 combined goals.

CRY80%Over 0.580%NFO
CRY80%Over 1.540%NFO
CRY60%Over 2.540%NFO
CRY60%Over 3.520%NFO
CRY60%Over 4.50%NFO
CRY0%Over 5.50%NFO
3.40Combined Goals / G · FT · Season1.80

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have been awarded an average of 2.4 corners per match, while Nottingham have averaged 3.4 corners.

  2. In the last 5 matches of the Premier League, Crystal Palace conceded on average 2.2 goals per match while Nottingham conceded on average 1 goals per match.

  3. In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Crystal Palace scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Nottingham scored 2 (average 0.6).

  4. In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Nottingham have averaged 0.8 cards.

  5. The chances of seeing a goal from Nottingham in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.

  6. In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while Nottingham have averaged 2.6 cards.

  7. Nottingham struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Premier League matches.

  8. Nottingham conceded 6 less goals than Crystal Palace in the last 5 matches of the Premier League this season.

About The Match

Nottingham arrive as the market's narrow favourite, and the underlying numbers support that edge. They have taken 5 points from their last five league matches to Crystal Palace's 4, and they hold a large attacking and defensive edge in this fixture's venue splits. The key uncertainty is whether Crystal Palace's home goal environment, which has produced 5.0 combined goals per match across 2 home matches, is real or a small-sample illusion.