Crystal Palace vs Nottingham — Premier League 26/27
Crystal Palace: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSNottingham: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:36 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Premier League page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Nottingham sit two places above Crystal Palace with 5 points to 4, but the venue splits tell a sharper story. Crystal Palace have lost both home matches with a -4 goal difference, while Nottingham are unbeaten away with a win and a draw and a +1 goal difference.
Crystal Palace
NottinghamScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Nottingham hold a large attacking edge, scoring 2.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches against Crystal Palace's 1.5 at home across 2 home matches. Nottingham's away rate is well above the league's away-side average of 1.3, while Crystal Palace's home rate is level with the league's home-side average of 1.57.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Nottingham hold a large defensive edge, conceding 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches to Crystal Palace's 3.5 at home across 2 home matches. Nottingham's away rate is level with the league's away-side average of 1.57, while Crystal Palace's home rate is far worse than the league's home-side average of 1.3.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Crystal Palace are most dangerous just after half-time, scoring 33% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Nottingham are equally vulnerable in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute windows, conceding 40% of their goals in each. Nottingham's scoring distribution is spread across the second half, with no single peak band.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Crystal Palace's matches have been far more open, with 60% of their matches going over 2.5 goals to Nottingham's 40%. At this venue, both teams have seen 100% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and Crystal Palace's home matches average 5.0 combined goals.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have been awarded an average of 2.4 corners per match, while Nottingham have averaged 3.4 corners.
In the last 5 matches of the Premier League, Crystal Palace conceded on average 2.2 goals per match while Nottingham conceded on average 1 goals per match.
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Crystal Palace scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Nottingham scored 2 (average 0.6).
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Nottingham have averaged 0.8 cards.
The chances of seeing a goal from Nottingham in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while Nottingham have averaged 2.6 cards.
Nottingham struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Premier League matches.
Nottingham conceded 6 less goals than Crystal Palace in the last 5 matches of the Premier League this season.
Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Nottingham sit two places above Crystal Palace with 5 points to 4, but the venue splits tell a sharper story. Crystal Palace have lost both home matches with a -4 goal difference, while Nottingham are unbeaten away with a win and a draw and a +1 goal difference.
Crystal Palace
NottinghamHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Nottingham have dominated this fixture, winning 3 of the 10 meetings with 7 draws and Crystal Palace yet to win. The most recent meeting ended 1-1 in February 2026, and the average of 1.7 goals per meeting points to a low-scoring pattern.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Nottingham hold a large attacking edge, scoring 2.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches against Crystal Palace's 1.5 at home across 2 home matches. Nottingham's away rate is well above the league's away-side average of 1.3, while Crystal Palace's home rate is level with the league's home-side average of 1.57.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Nottingham hold a large defensive edge, conceding 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches to Crystal Palace's 3.5 at home across 2 home matches. Nottingham's away rate is level with the league's away-side average of 1.57, while Crystal Palace's home rate is far worse than the league's home-side average of 1.3.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Crystal Palace are most dangerous just after half-time, scoring 33% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Nottingham are equally vulnerable in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute windows, conceding 40% of their goals in each. Nottingham's scoring distribution is spread across the second half, with no single peak band.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Crystal Palace's matches have been far more open, with 60% of their matches going over 2.5 goals to Nottingham's 40%. At this venue, both teams have seen 100% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and Crystal Palace's home matches average 5.0 combined goals.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have been awarded an average of 2.4 corners per match, while Nottingham have averaged 3.4 corners.
In the last 5 matches of the Premier League, Crystal Palace conceded on average 2.2 goals per match while Nottingham conceded on average 1 goals per match.
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Crystal Palace scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Nottingham scored 2 (average 0.6).
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Nottingham have averaged 0.8 cards.
The chances of seeing a goal from Nottingham in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Crystal Palace have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while Nottingham have averaged 2.6 cards.
Nottingham struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Premier League matches.
Nottingham conceded 6 less goals than Crystal Palace in the last 5 matches of the Premier League this season.
About The Match
Nottingham arrive as the market's narrow favourite, and the underlying numbers support that edge. They have taken 5 points from their last five league matches to Crystal Palace's 4, and they hold a large attacking and defensive edge in this fixture's venue splits. The key uncertainty is whether Crystal Palace's home goal environment, which has produced 5.0 combined goals per match across 2 home matches, is real or a small-sample illusion.