Coventry vs Newcastle — Premier League 26/27
Coventry: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Newcastle: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:36 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Premier League page.
Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Newcastle's 8 points from 5 matches put them comfortably clear of Coventry's 3, and the venue split widens that gap: Coventry have 0 points from 2 home matches while Newcastle have taken 3 points from 2 away matches. Coventry's home goal difference of -6 is the worst single line on either side, and their 19th place against Newcastle's 11th makes this a meeting of a side still searching for a first home point and one already mid-table.
Coventry
NewcastleScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Newcastle hold a large attacking edge, scoring 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches while Coventry have scored 0.0 per home match across 2 home matches. Newcastle's away figure is marginally better than the league average for an away side, while Coventry's home figure is far worse than the league average for a home side, and the gap between the two is the widest single attacking contrast in this fixture.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Newcastle also hold the defensive edge, conceding 2.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches against Coventry's 3.0 conceded per home match across 2 home matches. Both sides are worse than the league average for their venue, but Newcastle's gap is clear while Coventry's is large, and Newcastle have kept a clean sheet in 1 of their 2 away matches while Coventry have none at home.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Newcastle are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 33% of their goals in that band, while Coventry's only goal this season came in the 46-60 minute window. Coventry are most vulnerable late, conceding 30% of their goals in the 76-90 minute band, which suggests Newcastle's early threat and Coventry's late fragility could both shape the flow.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Newcastle's matches have been far more goal-heavy, with 80% of their matches going over 2.5 goals this season against 40% for Coventry, and Newcastle have scored in every match while Coventry have failed to score in 80% of theirs. At this venue the contrast narrows: 50% of Coventry's home matches and 50% of Newcastle's away matches have gone over 2.5, so the season-long totals gap is real but the venue split is less extreme.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Coventry have been struggling lately. They lost 4 of their last 5 matches of the Premier League.
Coventry struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Premier League matches.
Coventry have been one of the least effective teams in the Premier League this season, averaging just 0.2 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.4 goals per match.
In the last 5 matches of the Premier League, Coventry scored 1 goals (average 0.2) while Newcastle scored 9 (average 1.8).
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Coventry conceded on average 2 goals per match while Newcastle conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Coventry have received an average of 1 card per match, while Newcastle have averaged 2.4 cards.
The chances of seeing a goal from Coventry in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Coventry have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Newcastle have averaged 1 card.
Newcastle scored at least one goal per match in the Premier League this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Newcastle within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the Premier League this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Coventry have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Newcastle have averaged 4.4 corners.
Standings & Form · Premier League 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Newcastle's 8 points from 5 matches put them comfortably clear of Coventry's 3, and the venue split widens that gap: Coventry have 0 points from 2 home matches while Newcastle have taken 3 points from 2 away matches. Coventry's home goal difference of -6 is the worst single line on either side, and their 19th place against Newcastle's 11th makes this a meeting of a side still searching for a first home point and one already mid-table.
CoventryNewcastleHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
History is heavily one-sided and old: Newcastle have won 8 of the 10 meetings across both grounds, with Coventry winning just 1, and the most recent meeting was 16 years ago. At this ground the record is 3 Newcastle wins, 1 Coventry win and 1 draw in 5 meetings, so the historical edge for Newcastle is clear but comes from a sample that predates both current squads.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Newcastle hold a large attacking edge, scoring 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches while Coventry have scored 0.0 per home match across 2 home matches. Newcastle's away figure is marginally better than the league average for an away side, while Coventry's home figure is far worse than the league average for a home side, and the gap between the two is the widest single attacking contrast in this fixture.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Newcastle also hold the defensive edge, conceding 2.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches against Coventry's 3.0 conceded per home match across 2 home matches. Both sides are worse than the league average for their venue, but Newcastle's gap is clear while Coventry's is large, and Newcastle have kept a clean sheet in 1 of their 2 away matches while Coventry have none at home.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Newcastle are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 33% of their goals in that band, while Coventry's only goal this season came in the 46-60 minute window. Coventry are most vulnerable late, conceding 30% of their goals in the 76-90 minute band, which suggests Newcastle's early threat and Coventry's late fragility could both shape the flow.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Newcastle's matches have been far more goal-heavy, with 80% of their matches going over 2.5 goals this season against 40% for Coventry, and Newcastle have scored in every match while Coventry have failed to score in 80% of theirs. At this venue the contrast narrows: 50% of Coventry's home matches and 50% of Newcastle's away matches have gone over 2.5, so the season-long totals gap is real but the venue split is less extreme.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Coventry have been struggling lately. They lost 4 of their last 5 matches of the Premier League.
Coventry struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Premier League matches.
Coventry have been one of the least effective teams in the Premier League this season, averaging just 0.2 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.4 goals per match.
In the last 5 matches of the Premier League, Coventry scored 1 goals (average 0.2) while Newcastle scored 9 (average 1.8).
In the last 3 matches of the Premier League, Coventry conceded on average 2 goals per match while Newcastle conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Coventry have received an average of 1 card per match, while Newcastle have averaged 2.4 cards.
The chances of seeing a goal from Coventry in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0 goals before halftime in the Premier League matches this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Coventry have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Newcastle have averaged 1 card.
Newcastle scored at least one goal per match in the Premier League this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Newcastle within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the Premier League this season.
In their last 5 Premier League matches, Coventry have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Newcastle have averaged 4.4 corners.
About The Match
Newcastle arrive as the clear market favourite and the better side on nearly every measure, but the most telling number is Coventry's 0.0 goals per home match across 2 home matches this season. Coventry sit 19th with 3 points from 5 matches and have lost all 3 of their recent home matches, while Newcastle are 11th with 8 points and have won 4 of their last 6. The key uncertainty is whether Coventry's home scoring drought is a genuine signal or a thin-sample artefact, because it is the one number that could keep this match tighter than the market's 43% away win probability suggests.