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M´gladbach vs Mainz — Bundesliga 26/27

SAT, SEP 19Borussia-Park
3 – 4Half-time 1 – 2Full time
M´gladbach: F. Neuhaus
11'
M´gladbach: I. Lidberg
59'
M´gladbach: S. Machino
90+5' (Pen)
18'
Mainz: P. Tietz
45+1'
Mainz: S. Becker
78'
Mainz: E. Martel
88'
Mainz: D. da Costa

M´gladbach: 6 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Mainz: 5 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:04 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Bundesliga page.

Standings & Form · Bundesliga 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Mainz are far better placed, sitting 8th with 4 points and a perfect away record of one win from one match, while M´gladbach are 17th with 0 points and a home defeat already on the board. The home/away split flatters neither side: M´gladbach's home goal difference is -1 but their away is -8, while Mainz's away goal difference is +5 against a -2 at home, so the table gap is real and the venue only widens it.

M´gladbach
Mainz
Last 6 · all comps
BMG0%Win Rate33%M05
BMG100%Loss Rate33%M05

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Attack

Mainz are far more dangerous away from home, averaging 5.0 goals per away match this season, while M´gladbach manage 3.0 at home. The gap is even starker in recent away form: Mainz have scored 5.8 per away game in their last five, compared to M´gladbach's 2.2 at home, making Mainz the clear attacking threat in this fixture.

All venues
Home/AwayBMG home · M05 away

Goals Scored · Season

BMG1.02.0M05
BMG3.05.0M05

Failed to Score · Season

BMG67%33%M05
BMG0%0%M05

Attacking Share · Season

BMG20%67%M05
BMG43%100%M05

Goals Scored · Last 5

BMG2.03.4M05
BMG2.25.8M05

Failed to Score · Last 5

BMG40%20%M05
BMG0%0%M05

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

M´gladbach are most vulnerable in the final 15 minutes, conceding 42% of their goals in the 76-90 band, while Mainz are most dangerous in exactly that window, scoring 50% of their goals there. That late-game mismatch is the clearest timing signal in this fixture and points to Mainz extending a lead or punishing M´gladbach late.

M´gladbachMainz
33%
0%
33%
33%
0%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
17%
17%
17%
0%
50%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
BMG33%1st Half Lead %33%M05
BMG0%2nd Half Lead %67%M05

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

BMG ■M05 ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Both teams' matches have been high-scoring, with all of M´gladbach's league games going over 2.5 goals and 66.67% of Mainz's doing so, and the venue splits are even more extreme: every home match for M´gladbach and every away match for Mainz has gone over 2.5. M´gladbach have failed to score in 66.67% of matches overall but never at home, while Mainz have scored in every away match, so the goal environment points firmly toward goals.

BMG100%Over 0.567%M05
BMG100%Over 1.567%M05
BMG100%Over 2.567%M05
BMG67%Over 3.567%M05
BMG67%Over 4.533%M05
BMG33%Over 5.50%M05
5.00Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.00

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. M´gladbach have conceded a total of 12 goals, which is the most in the Bundesliga this season.

  2. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, M´gladbach conceded on average 4 goals per match while Mainz conceded on average 1 goals per match.

  3. M´gladbach have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the Bundesliga.

  4. In their last 5 matches, M´gladbach have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Mainz have averaged 0.4 cards.

  5. In their last 5 matches, M´gladbach have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Mainz have averaged 1.2 cards.

  6. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, M´gladbach scored 3 goals (average 1) while Mainz scored 6 (average 2).

  7. Mainz shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches.

  8. In their last 3 Bundesliga matches, M´gladbach have been awarded an average of 7 corners per match, while Mainz have averaged 6.6 corners.

  9. Chances are good to see a goal from M´gladbach within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the Bundesliga this season.

About The Match

Mainz arrive as the market's clear favourite and the form side, while M´gladbach sit bottom of the table with three straight defeats and the worst defensive record in the division. The sharpest gap is in the away figures: Mainz have won their last two away matches without conceding, scoring 14 goals, while M´gladbach have lost all three league games and shipped 12 goals already. The key uncertainty is whether M´gladbach's home scoring, which produced 3 goals in their only home league match, can trouble a Mainz defence that has kept a clean sheet in every away game this season.