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Atletico vs Real Madrid — LaLiga 26/27

SUN, SEP 20Riyadh Air Metropolitano
2 – 1Half-time 0 – 0Full time
Atletico: A. Grimaldo
53' (Pen)
Atletico: J. David
59'
89'
Real Madrid: A. Rudiger

Atletico: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Real Madrid: 2 yellow cards, 1 red card

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 10:55 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page.

Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Real Madrid sit second with 15 points from six matches, two clear of fourth-placed Atletico on 13, but the home/away split flatters the visitors less than the raw table suggests. Atletico have taken 7 points from three home games with a +6 goal difference, while Real Madrid have managed 6 points from three away games with a +1 goal difference, so the gap narrows sharply when measured at the venues this fixture actually uses.

Atletico
Last 6 · all comps
Real Madrid
Last 6 · all comps
ATM67%Win Rate83%RMA
ATM17%Loss Rate17%RMA

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

5
RMA wins
3
draws
2
ATM wins

Recent meetings between these two have been tight and high-scoring, with 5 draws in the last 10 meetings and an average of 3.5 goals per game. At this ground the record is balanced, with Atletico winning 2, Real Madrid 1 and 2 draws in the 5 meetings played here, so history offers no strong lean either way.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Attack

Atletico's home attack is the more dangerous of the two, scoring 2.7 goals per home match against Real Madrid's 1.7 away, a full goal per game gap. That edge is the clearest attacking signal in this fixture, though Real Madrid's overall season rate of 2.8 goals per match shows their quality is not in question.

All venues
Home/AwayATM home · RMA away

Goals Scored · Season

ATM2.32.8RMA
ATM2.71.7RMA

Failed to Score · Season

ATM17%17%RMA
ATM0%33%RMA

Attacking Share · Season

ATM70%74%RMA
ATM80%56%RMA

Goals Scored · Last 5

ATM2.22.6RMA
ATM2.61.8RMA

Failed to Score · Last 5

ATM20%20%RMA
ATM0%20%RMA

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Atletico are at their most dangerous late, scoring 43% of their goals between minutes 76 and 90, while Real Madrid are equally dangerous in two windows, with 29% of their goals coming in both the 16-30 and 76-90 bands. Both teams are also most vulnerable late, with each conceding 33% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, so the closing stages look the likeliest source of goals.

AtleticoReal Madrid
7%
14%
7%
14%
14%
43%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
12%
29%
18%
6%
6%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
ATM33%1st Half Lead %50%RMA
ATM50%2nd Half Lead %33%RMA

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

ATM ■RMA ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Atletico's matches have been back-loaded this season, with 83% of their games producing over 1.5 second-half goals compared to just 17% in the first half, while Real Madrid's are front-loaded at 83% first-half over 1.5. Atletico have failed to score in only 16.67% of matches overall and never at home, while Real Madrid have failed to score in 33.33% of their away matches, so the hosts look the more reliable scorers in this venue.

ATM100%Over 0.5100%RMA
ATM100%Over 1.583%RMA
ATM83%Over 2.583%RMA
ATM50%Over 3.567%RMA
ATM0%Over 4.550%RMA
ATM0%Over 5.50%RMA
3.33Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.83

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Atletico have conceded a total of only 6 goals, which is the least in the LaLiga this season.

  2. Chances are good to see a goal from Real Madrid within the first half. They have averaged 1.6 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.

  3. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Atletico have been awarded an average of 5.2 corners per match, while Real Madrid have averaged 7.8 corners.

  4. In the last 5 matches of the LaLiga, Atletico scored 12 goals (average 2.4) while Real Madrid scored 15 (average 3).

  5. In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Atletico conceded on average 1 goals per match while Real Madrid conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.

  6. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Atletico have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Real Madrid have averaged 0.6 cards.

  7. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Atletico have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Real Madrid have averaged 1.8 cards.

About The Match

Real Madrid arrive as the market's clear favourite and the sharper side on recent form, but Atletico's home record and second-half scoring make this a genuine contest rather than a procession. Real Madrid have taken 15 points from their last six league matches while Atletico have 13, and the visitors also lead the season table by two points. The key uncertainty is whether Atletico's strong home defence, which has conceded just 0.7 goals per home match, can hold off a Real Madrid attack that has scored 17 goals in six games but has been less prolific away from home.