10xSharp

Atalanta vs Venezia — Serie A 26/27

MON, OCT 12New Balance Arena
3 – 1Half-time 3 – 1Full time
Atalanta: F. Kessie
4'
Atalanta: N. Krstovic
6', 30'
37'
Venezia: A. Hainaut

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:39 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Serie A page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Serie A 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Atalanta sit 11th with 6 points while Venezia are rooted to 20th with 0, a gap that reflects Venezia's five straight defeats. At home Atalanta have won 2 of 3 with a +1 goal difference, while Venezia have lost both away matches with a -3 goal difference, so the venue split reinforces the table gap.

Atalanta
Last 6 · all comps
Venezia
Last 6 · all comps
ATA40%Win Rate0%VEN
ATA60%Loss Rate100%VEN

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

2
VEN wins
2
draws
6
ATA wins

Atalanta have dominated this fixture historically, winning 6 of 10 meetings with 2 draws and only 2 Venezia wins, and the goal difference of 13-4 underlines that control. At this ground specifically, Atalanta have won 3 and drawn 2 of 5 meetings without conceding a goal, a record that makes Venezia's task even harder.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Atalanta's home attack is marginally better than Venezia's away attack, scoring 1.3 goals per home match (across 3 home matches) versus 1.0 for Venezia on the road (across 2 away matches), though both sit below their respective league averages. Atalanta's edge is real but narrow, and neither side has shown the firepower to make this a high-scoring contest.

All venues
Home/AwayATA home · VEN away

Goals Scored · Season

ATA1.00.8VEN
ATA1.31.0VEN

Failed to Score · Season

ATA20%60%VEN
ATA0%50%VEN

Attacking Share · Season

ATA42%24%VEN
ATA57%29%VEN

Goals Scored · Last 5

ATA0.81.2VEN
ATA1.01.6VEN

Failed to Score · Last 5

ATA20%20%VEN
ATA20%20%VEN

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Atalanta's scoring is spread evenly across the match with no single peak band, while Venezia are most vulnerable late, conceding 31% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. Both teams are flagged as second-half leaky, so the closing stages could be where this match opens up.

AtalantaVenezia
20%
0%
20%
20%
20%
20%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
25%
0%
0%
50%
25%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
ATA20%1st Half Lead %0%VEN
ATA20%2nd Half Lead %20%VEN

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

ATA ■VEN ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Across the whole season, Atalanta's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, while Venezia's have done so in 40%, a modest difference. At this venue, Atalanta's home matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.67% and Venezia's away matches in 50%, so the venue split points slightly higher for Atalanta's home games.

ATA100%Over 0.5100%VEN
ATA80%Over 1.5100%VEN
ATA60%Over 2.540%VEN
ATA0%Over 3.540%VEN
ATA0%Over 4.540%VEN
ATA0%Over 5.520%VEN
2.40Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.40

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Atalanta have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the Serie A.

  2. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Atalanta have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Venezia have averaged 1.4 cards.

  3. In the last 5 matches of the Serie A, Atalanta conceded on average 1.4 goals per match while Venezia conceded on average 2.6 goals per match.

  4. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Atalanta have received an average of 1 card per match, while Venezia have averaged 2.4 cards.

  5. In the last 3 matches of the Serie A, Atalanta scored 2 goals (average 0.6) while Venezia scored 4 (average 1.3).

  6. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Atalanta have been awarded an average of 2.8 corners per match, while Venezia have averaged 3.4 corners.

  7. Venezia struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Serie A matches.

  8. The chances of seeing a goal from Venezia in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Serie A matches this season.

  9. Atalanta conceded 6 less goals than Venezia in the last 5 matches of the Serie A this season.

About The Match

Atalanta's home form and Venezia's total inability to pick up points make this a lopsided matchup on paper, but the market's 61% home win probability is not the whole story. The clearest edge is defensive: Venezia concede 2.5 goals per away match (across 2 away matches) while Atalanta allow just 1.0 at home (across 3 home matches), a gap that dwarfs the modest attacking difference. The key uncertainty is whether Atalanta's recent three-match losing run reflects a real dip or just a tough stretch, and whether Venezia's second-half vulnerability (conceding 31% of goals after the 76th minute) can be exploited by a home side that has struggled to score more than once per match.