Serie A 26/27 · Round 7 ·
Frosinone Calcio vs Sassuolo Calcio preview: Frosinone host Sassuolo with home form and away fragility on show
Frosinone's home defence has been the more reliable unit this season, conceding a goal per match at the Stadio Benito Stirpe. Sassuolo arrive winless in at least four away matches and with the league's clearer defensive weakness on the road.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Injury lists hit both squads
Frosinone are without midfielder Florian Grillitsch, defender Aleksa Terzic and forward Daniel Birligea, all listed as injury. Sassuolo's unavailable list is longer, with midfielders Daniel Boloca and Ismael Kone plus defenders Jay Idzes, Yeferson Paz Blandon and Edoardo Pieragnolo all out through injury. None of the absent players are among either side's top scorers or assisters this season, so the attacking output each team has produced so far remains available.
Raimondo and Adzic carry the goals
Antonio Raimondo leads Frosinone with 4 goals in 6 matches, a 44% share of the team's total in this competition, and sits second in the scoring chart. Giorgi Kvernadze has added 3 goals, while Romano Schmid's 3 assists make him the home side's main creator. For Sassuolo, Vasilije Adzic has 3 goals and 1 assist, with Cas Odenthal contributing 2 goals in just 2 matches. Adzic's 30% share of the away side's goals is the highest among their available players.
Frosinone hold the recent edge
Frosinone have taken 10 points from their last six league matches, with a 3W-1D-2L record, while Sassuolo have 8 points from 2W-2D-2L. Frosinone's latest result was a defeat, but they had won two of the previous three. Sassuolo drew their most recent match and have won just one of their last four. Frosinone have also won their last two home matches, while Sassuolo are winless in at least four away matches.
Ninth hosts eleventh with home edge
Frosinone sit 9th with 10 points from 6 matches, two points ahead of Sassuolo in 11th on 8. At home, Frosinone have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1, with a goal difference of +2. Sassuolo's away record is winless: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with a goal difference of -2. The home side's venue record is the stronger of the two.
Sassuolo own recent meetings
Across the last 10 meetings, Sassuolo have won 5, Frosinone 2, with 3 draws. The goals in those matches favour Sassuolo 15 to 12. In the 5 meetings at this ground, Sassuolo have won 4 and Frosinone 1, with no draws, and Sassuolo have scored 9 to Frosinone's 6. The most recent meeting ended 1-1 in September 2026.
Frosinone's home attack edges it
Frosinone score 1.7 goals per home match, level with the league average for a home side at home, across 3 home matches. Sassuolo score 1.3 goals per away match, also level with the league average for an away side on the road, across 3 away matches. The attack edge is marginal in Frosinone's favour. Frosinone's home scoring rate is slightly above their overall 1.5 per match, while Sassuolo's away rate is below their overall 1.7.
Frosinone's home defence is the difference
Frosinone concede 1.0 goals per home match, better than the league average for a home side at home, across 3 home matches. Sassuolo concede 2.0 goals per away match, clearly worse than the league average for an away side on the road, across 3 away matches. The defence edge is large in Frosinone's favour. Frosinone's home conceding rate is better than their overall 1.2, while Sassuolo's away rate is worse than their overall 1.7.
Sassuolo test goalkeepers more
Sassuolo average 6.17 shots on target per match compared with Frosinone's 5.0. Frosinone shoot off target more often, averaging 7.33 shots off goal per match against Sassuolo's 4.83. Both sides average 4.0 blocked shots per match. Sassuolo's higher on-target rate gives them the more direct threat, while Frosinone's volume is less accurate.
Frosinone start fast, Sassuolo finish late
Frosinone's most dangerous spell is the 31-45 minute window, where they score 33% of their goals. Sassuolo's peak scoring band is 76-90 minutes, with 40% of their goals. Frosinone score 78% of their goals in the first half, while Sassuolo score 80% in the second half. Sassuolo also concede 30% of their goals in each of the 76-90 and 61-75 windows, against 40% and 20% of their goals scored in those same windows respectively.
Sassuolo matches trend over 2.5
Sassuolo's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 83% of their matches this season, while Frosinone's have done so in 50%. Sassuolo's away matches are the higher-scoring ones: 67% of their home games go over 2.5 goals versus 100% of their away games. Frosinone's away matches are also higher-scoring than their home games: 33% of their home games go over 2.5 goals versus 67% of their away games. Frosinone's matches are front-loaded, with 67% producing 2+ goals before half time, while Sassuolo's are back-loaded, with 83% producing 2+ goals after it.
Home defence against away fragility
Frosinone's home defence is the clearest signal, conceding a goal per match at home while Sassuolo concede two per away match. Sassuolo's attack is more accurate on target and their matches trend over 2.5 goals, but their away form is winless and their defensive record on the road is clearly worse than the league average. Frosinone's fast starts meet Sassuolo's late scoring, so the shape of the match may hinge on whether the home side can hold their first-half edge. The market prices the match-winner narrowly in Frosinone's favour.