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Lorient vs Toulouse — Ligue 1 26/27

SAT, SEP 12Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
2 – 2Half-time 2 – 0Full time
Lorient: I. Balde
37'
Lorient: N. Mbamba
39'
48'
Toulouse: C. Tengstedt
68'
Toulouse: T. Jorgensen

Lorient: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Toulouse: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 12, 2026, 4:36 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Ligue 1 page.

Standings & Form · Ligue 1 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

Lorient sit 8th with 4 points from three matches, while Toulouse are 17th with just 1 point, but the home and away splits tell a more nuanced story. Lorient have lost their only home match and taken all 4 points on the road, whereas Toulouse have drawn their only away match and lost both at home, so this fixture's venue may not favour the hosts as much as the table implies.

Lorient
Last 6 · all comps
Toulouse
Last 6 · all comps
33%Win Rate0%
33%Loss Rate67%

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

4
TFC wins
5
draws
1
FCL wins

Toulouse have had the better of this fixture overall, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings with 5 draws, and at this ground they have won 2 and drawn 3 of 5. The most recent meeting was a 1-0 Toulouse win in March, and both teams scored in 70% of the last 10 meetings.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

Attack

Lorient's home scoring is modest at 1.0 goals per match, while Toulouse have scored 2.0 per away match, though both samples are tiny. Lorient's season average is 0.7 goals per match, and Toulouse's is also 0.7, so neither attack has been prolific overall.

All venues
Home/AwayFCL home · TFC away

Goals Scored · Season

0.70.7
1.02.0

Failed to Score · Season

33%67%
0%0%

Attacking Share · Season

50%29%
33%50%

Goals Scored · Last 5

0.80.6
1.81.0

Failed to Score · Last 5

20%60%
20%40%

Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — Ligue 1 matches in those samples: FCL 3 of 5, TFC 3 of 5.

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

Lorient's goals this season have all come in the 46-60 minute window, while Toulouse have scored in the opening 15 minutes and the 61-75 minute band. Toulouse are also vulnerable late, conceding 40% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, which could leave the door open for a late Lorient push.

LorientToulouse
0%
0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
50%
0%
0%
0%
50%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%1st Half Lead %0%
67%2nd Half Lead %0%

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

FCL ■TFC ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Both teams' matches at this venue have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases this season, though the samples are just one match each. Across all venues, Lorient's matches have gone over 2.5 in 33% of cases and Toulouse's in 33%, but both sides are trending hotter recently with 60% of their last five matches going over 2.5.

Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals

67%Over 0.5100%
33%Over 1.567%
33%Over 2.533%
0%Over 3.533%
0%Over 4.50%
0%Over 5.50%
1.33Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.33

Match Trends · Smart Predictions

  1. In their last 5 matches, Lorient have received an average of 1 card per match, while Toulouse have averaged 3 cards.

  2. In their last 3 Ligue 1 matches, Lorient have been awarded an average of 1.6 corners per match, while Toulouse have averaged 4.6 corners.

  3. The chances of seeing a goal from Lorient in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0 goals before halftime in the Ligue 1 matches this season.

  4. In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Lorient scored 2 goals (average 0.6) while Toulouse scored 2 (average 0.6).

  5. In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Lorient conceded on average 0.6 goals per match while Toulouse conceded on average 1.6 goals per match.

  6. In their last 5 matches, Lorient have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Toulouse have averaged 1.2 cards.

  7. Lorient shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches.

About The Match

Lorient arrive with a modest edge in the table and the market's backing, but the venue history and Toulouse's away numbers make this far closer than the standings suggest. Lorient have taken 4 points from their first three league matches while Toulouse have just 1, yet Toulouse have won 2 and drawn 3 of the 5 meetings at this ground. The key uncertainty is whether Lorient's single home match this season, a 1-2 defeat, reflects their true level here or is just a one-game sample.