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Real Madrid vs Vallecano — LaLiga 26/27

SAT, SEP 12Santiago Bernabeu
4 – 1Half-time 3 – 0Full time
Real Madrid: K. Mbappe
14' (Pen)
Real Madrid: A. Carreras
17'
Real Madrid: J. Bellingham
35'
Real Madrid: K. Mbappe
90+1'
51'
Vallecano: S. Camello

Real Madrid: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Vallecano: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 12, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page.

Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

Real Madrid sit fourth with nine points from four matches, while Vallecano are fourteenth with four, and the home/away split widens the gap further. Real Madrid have taken 6 points from 2 home matches with a plus-seven home goal difference, whereas Vallecano have lost both away matches and carry a minus-four away goal difference.

Real Madrid
Last 6 · all comps
Vallecano
Last 6 · all comps
75%Win Rate25%
25%Loss Rate50%

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

1
RVC wins
4
draws
5
RMA wins

Real Madrid have won five of the ten meetings between these sides, with Vallecano winning one and four draws, and at this ground Real Madrid have won four of five with no Vallecano victory. The most recent meeting was a 2-1 Real Madrid home win, and both teams scored in 70% of the meetings overall.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

Attack

Real Madrid score 4.0 goals per home match, more than double their 1.5 away average, while Vallecano manage 1.5 goals per away match. Real Madrid's home output is also well above their 2.5 season average, whereas Vallecano's away scoring is slightly below their 1.8 overall figure.

All venues
Home/AwayRMA home · RVC away

Goals Scored · Season

2.51.8
4.01.5

Failed to Score · Season

25%0%
0%0%

Attacking Share · Season

77%41%
89%30%

Goals Scored · Last 5

2.41.4
3.21.4

Failed to Score · Last 5

20%20%
0%20%

Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — LaLiga matches by sample: Last 5 — RMA 4 of 5, RVC 4 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — RMA 3 of 5, RVC 2 of 5.

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

Real Madrid's scoring is split evenly between the first and second half, with their peak bands at 16-30 and 76-90 minutes, while Vallecano score 43% of their goals between minutes 46-60. Vallecano also concede most heavily in the final 15 minutes and the 16-30 window, which is where Real Madrid are most dangerous.

Real MadridVallecano
10%
30%
10%
10%
10%
30%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
29%
14%
14%
43%
0%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
25%1st Half Lead %25%
50%2nd Half Lead %25%

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026

RMA ■RVC ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Real Madrid's home matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases, while Vallecano's away matches have also gone over 2.5 in 100% of cases. Real Madrid have failed to score in 25% of all matches but never at home, while Vallecano have scored in every match this season.

Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals

100%Over 0.5100%
75%Over 1.5100%
75%Over 2.575%
50%Over 3.550%
25%Over 4.550%
0%Over 5.525%
3.25Combined Goals / G · FT · Season4.25

Match Trends · Smart Predictions

  1. In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Real Madrid conceded on average 0.6 goals per match while Vallecano conceded on average 2.6 goals per match.

  2. In their last 5 matches, Real Madrid have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Vallecano have averaged 3.4 cards.

  3. In their last 4 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have been awarded an average of 7.7 corners per match, while Vallecano have averaged 6.2 corners.

  4. Real Madrid seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 4 matches of the LaLiga.

  5. In the last 4 matches of the LaLiga, Real Madrid scored 10 goals (average 2.5) while Vallecano scored 7 (average 1.7).

  6. Chances are good to see a goal from Real Madrid within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.

  7. Real Madrid conceded 7 less goals than Vallecano in the last 5 matches.

  8. Real Madrid shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches.

  9. In their last 5 matches, Real Madrid have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Vallecano have averaged 0.8 cards.

  10. In the last 19 months, Real Madrid and Vallecano have faced each other 3 times, with Real Madrid winning 2 times.

  11. Vallecano scored at least one goal per match in the LaLiga this season.

About The Match

Real Madrid arrive as overwhelming market favourites, priced at 87% to win, and the underlying numbers support that read even with only four league matches played. The home side have taken nine points from their four matches while Vallecano have four, and the sharper contrast is at this venue: Real Madrid score 4.0 goals per home match while Vallecano concede 3.5 on the road. The key uncertainty is whether Vallecano's attack can trouble a Real Madrid defence that has conceded just one goal in two home matches, because that is the only route to keeping this competitive.