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Malaga vs Villarreal — LaLiga 26/27

THU, SEP 17La Rosaleda
1 – 3Half-time 1 – 2Full time
Malaga: C. Dotor
12'
40'
Villarreal: A. Moleiro
45+2', 86' (Pen)
Villarreal: P. Gueye

Malaga: 5 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Villarreal: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 16, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page.

Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 16, 2026

Malaga and Villarreal are separated by a single point at the bottom, but the venue split tells a different story. Malaga have taken 2 draws from 2 home matches with a level goal difference, while Villarreal have 2 draws and a defeat away, conceding 5 goals in 3 road games. The table gap is minimal, but Malaga's home solidity gives them a slight edge in this fixture.

Malaga
Last 6 · all comps
Villarreal
Last 6 · all comps
0%Win Rate0%
40%Loss Rate60%

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

5
VIL wins
2
draws
3
MCF wins

Villarreal have the better of the all-time head-to-head, winning 5 of 10 meetings to Malaga's 3, but at this ground Malaga have won 3 of 6. The most recent meeting went to Malaga, and the average of 1.7 goals per meeting points to a tight, low-scoring affair.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 16, 2026

Attack

Villarreal carry the greater attacking threat, scoring 1.3 goals per away match to Malaga's 0.5 at home. Villarreal's 6.6 shots on target per game dwarf Malaga's 2.0, and the away side have found the net in every away fixture this season. Malaga's attack is the weakest part of their game, and they have failed to score in half their home matches.

All venues
Home/AwayMCF home · VIL away

Goals Scored · Season

0.41.4
0.51.3

Failed to Score · Season

60%20%
50%33%

Attacking Share · Season

20%41%
50%44%

Goals Scored · Last 5

0.41.4
1.81.6

Failed to Score · Last 5

60%20%
20%20%

Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — LaLiga matches by sample: Last 5 — MCF 5 of 5, VIL 4 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — MCF 2 of 5, VIL 3 of 5.

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 16, 2026

Malaga are most vulnerable in the 16-30 minute window, conceding 50% of their goals in that period, while Villarreal are most dangerous late, scoring 29% of their goals after the 76th minute. Villarreal also concede heavily just before half-time, with 50% of goals against coming in the 31-45 minute band. Expect Villarreal to push late, but Malaga's early fragility could be tested.

MalagaVillarreal
0%
0%
50%
0%
0%
50%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
29%
29%
0%
14%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%1st Half Lead %0%
40%2nd Half Lead %40%

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 16, 2026

MCF ■VIL ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

The goal environments point in opposite directions. Malaga's home matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 100% of cases, while Villarreal's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 67%. Malaga have failed to score in half their home games, but Villarreal's away matches average 3.0 combined goals. The market's total of 3.0 sits above Malaga's home profile and below Villarreal's away trend.

Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals

80%Over 0.5100%
80%Over 1.580%
20%Over 2.580%
20%Over 3.560%
0%Over 4.520%
0%Over 5.50%
2.00Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.40

Match Trends · Smart Predictions

  1. Villarreal have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the LaLiga.

  2. Draw seems to be a common result for Malaga lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 LaLiga matches.

  3. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Malaga have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Villarreal have averaged 0 cards.

  4. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Malaga have been awarded an average of 5 corners per match, while Villarreal have averaged 7.2 corners.

  5. Malaga struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 LaLiga matches.

  6. In the last 5 matches of the LaLiga, Malaga scored 2 goals (average 0.4) while Villarreal scored 7 (average 1.4).

  7. In the last 5 matches of the LaLiga, Malaga conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Villarreal conceded on average 2 goals per match.

  8. The chances of seeing a goal from Malaga in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga matches this season.

  9. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Malaga have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Villarreal have averaged 2 cards.

  10. Chances are good to see a goal from Villarreal within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.

About The Match

This is a meeting of two winless sides, but the market sees a clear gap in quality. Villarreal are priced as 48% favourites to win, while Malaga sit at 27%, and the away side's superior shot volume and scoring output support that lean. The key uncertainty is whether Malaga's stubborn home draws can hold against a Villarreal attack that has scored in every away match this season.